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Tuesday 15 April 2014

What is in CRESBLD?




CRESBLD
Bullish signal on the MACD and Stchastic cross over
Uptrend is intact.
If the resistance $1.55 is broken with high volume,may consider below for your trade.

Entry= $1.55
Stop Loss= $1.48
Profit Target= $1.63

Opportunity for SYCAL



SYCAL uptrend for the past 2 weeks.
Uptrend is intact.
If the resistance $0.40 is broken with high volume,may consider below for your trade.

Entry= $0.40
Stop Loss= $0.335
Profit Target= $0.48

L&G Bullish



L&G has bullish sign on the Stochastic cross over.
Big gap up today with high volume.

Entry= $0.54
Stop Loss= $0.48
Profit Target= $0.61

Monday 14 April 2014

Video:Cash Flow Principle

Video:Moving Averages and It's Applications



In this video lesson, we shall learn how to apply Moving Averages onto a chart

8 Questions Powerful People Ask Themselves Every Day

Powerful people, intelligent people, wise people, the most grounded people, all do one thing that most others don’t: They talk to themselves. They’re not crazy. In fact, they’re quite the opposite. Powerful individuals understand that nothing in their lives, themselves included, is stable continuously forever.
Things change. People change. The only way to stay atop of it all is to constantly talk to yourself, constantly ask yourself questions to understand not only what is going on, but who you have become and what you want. You have to ask yourself questions regularly, converse with yourself, if you want to lead a happy and healthy life.
All those individuals that can be truly dubbed powerful individuals ask themselves questions every day. Why? Because they need to in order to remember and in order to make adjustments to their goals and tactics when those answers change over time – which they always do. Here are eight questions you should all be asking yourselves:

1. Where is my focus for the day?

Most of us get up in the morning and do our best to delay the day at hand. We then crawl groggily out of our bedroom and go through the motions of getting ready and making it to work on time. Mornings, more often than not, are spent running through our routines, avoiding too much thinking because half our brain still wishes it was asleep.
Mornings are very important because they basically set the mood for the day. If you wobble around absentmindedly in the am, then you’re likely to continue the trend throughout the day. Get up in the morning and reassess yourself, your life and your focus and you will see a great improvement overtime.
The most successful and powerful individuals get up and remind themselves what their main focus is. Although we all have tons of tasks that need to be completed, there should be one overall focus for the day ahead of you.

2. What personal achievement do I want to achieve next?

Throughout our day, we run through a usually long list of things that we need to check off. And that’s great. But life isn’t all about working – it’s about doing and living, but not necessarily working.
What is it that you want to achieve next? Do you want to run a full marathon? Do you want to get your novel published? Maybe get incredibly fit? Achievements don’t only lie in the work that you do. They also lie in your life outside of work. Never stopping achieving and you’ll never stop living.

3. What habits can I avoid?

We all have bad habits. I often wonder why that is and I’ve narrowed it down two options: Either those bad habits feel incredibly good or the fact that they are bad makes us feel good – we know it’s bad, but we’re strong enough to handle it. Nevertheless, bad habits are bad habits and should therefore be avoided.
This, however, takes quite a bit of concentration. That’s why the most powerful people remind themselves that they have these poor habits and ask themselves regularly, which of those (if not all) they can avoid today. Avoid them for long enough and they no longer can be labeled as habits.

4. What mistakes should I have learned from?

We all make mistakes, but we don’t all learn from them. This is a huge problem because it leads us to make the same mistakes over and over again, with the same negative result. You can’t simply make mistakes, assume you’ve learned from them, and then move on. You have to remind yourself of those mistakes and remind yourself of the lessons you learned from them.
Don’t assume that because you’ve experienced the mishap and understand that it was a mistake that you’ve learned from it. Even if you did learn from them initially, without reminding yourself regularly, you’ll forget.

5. What new mistakes am I willing to make?

Mistakes are a part of the learning experience and therefore shouldn’t be avoided. But they shouldn’t be aimed for either. Powerful, intelligent individuals understand that mistakes are meant to be made.
They also understand that knowing what mistakes you are willing to make and what you are willing to risk will make your life a whole lot easier and less stressful. Mistakes don’t need to be surprises – they can and should be calculated risks.

6. How is my health level?

The more powerful and influential you are, the busier you tend to be. Constantly working leaves little time for anything else. Unfortunately, we can’t simply work and do nothing else because we have physical needs that need to be met. We need to find time to exercise. We need to find time to eat healthy.
We need to find time to sleep. These things cannot be avoided, but often are ignored or overlooked. If you’re a very busy individual then you’ll benefit from regularly checking in with yourself and examining your health level.
If you look and feel healthy, then you have nothing to worry about, but chances are, you could probably use an extra hour of sleep tonight, and a half-hour of cardio, or you could use to get a salad instead a sandwich. Stay on top of your health and your health won’t get in the way of your productivity and happiness.

7. Am I still on the right track?

Sometimes we get so entrenched in all that is going on in our lives that we lose sight of the road we were supposedly following. We get caught up with this or that and then find ourselves far from where we ought to be.
This is why you need to create checkpoints for yourself, based either on time or achievement, and make sure that you are still heading in the right direction. Life has a way of taking us up and throwing us off course. This is fine as long as we are smart enough to realize this and strong enough to push ourselves back on track.

8. Is my end goal still as important to me today as it was yesterday?

The hungrier you are for success, the more likely you are to ignore everything but your goals. However, it’s easy to get caught up with things and lose sight of what it is that we really want out of life. Many times our wants and preferences change. This should clearly affect our goals and aspirations, yet it doesn’t unless we come to conclude that our goals no longer line up with what we believe will make us happy.
Even worse is when we choose to ignore what we know because we’ve already spent so much time driving towards that one dream. As you live, you learn – you change – and therefore you must adjust. The most successful people aren’t always the happiest people, but then you can’t really call them successful, can you?
The truly successful manage to follow the dreams that will make them happy and then go and get them. If your perspective changes, then don’t be afraid to adjust your goals. Being stubborn and set in your ways always leads to misery.

Source:http://elitedaily.com/

Will MYEG bounce back?


MYEG is on the downward trend since it did not get the government contract.
50MA is cross over 20MA signalling bearish for short term.
For those in position,may sell first if there is chance to rebounce.

KNM spotted shooting star



It is and uptrend stock.
KNM spotted the shooting star.
It could retrace and move on again.
Watch for high volume.

Dialog will go higher than $3.65?



Dialog touch the 20MA support.
If it break $3.65 with high volume, it can go higher

Sunday 13 April 2014

What Is Your Bear Market Strategy?

Fail To Plan Is Plan To Fail.
 
A plan in place does not mean sure success, but no plan at all is a sure failure.
 
For most new investors who have not really "taste" a bear market like me, I think it is necessary to have a plan for it.
 
What should you do when a bear market arrive?
 
Should you sell all your shares, or sell only part of them, or hold everything tight?
 
Should you buy at discounted price? What should you buy and when is the right timing to buy cheap?
 
I think everyone has their own ways of facing a bear market, but it is important to plan ahead, especially for mid to long term investors.
 
For short term traders who rarely hold the shares long, it does not really matter that much.
 

Bear market is unpredictable. Most of the time when things already happened then only we regret and say that we should or shouldn't have done this or that. 
 
For example during the 1997-98 Asian Financial Crisis, KLCI lost 75% from early 1997.
 
 
 
 
 
When KLCI fell from 1,200 to 1,000 points, many people may think that it was time to pick up some cheap shares. However, it later turned out to be just an early part of a fierce bear market.
 
KLCI then fell deeper to 500 points in Jan 1998, which was already 60% lower from its peak. At this time, there was a significant rebound (shown in green circle in chart above). This might be a "confirmation" trend reversal sign for many people as no one could imagine that it could go lower than 500 points.
 
A lot of investors might have swept the shares while the KLCI was at 700 points around Feb 1998. The truth was, KLCI fell another 60% from there to 300 points just 6 months later.
 
At 300 points, some "not-so-brave" investors might worried about another round of drop. They waited and only went back in when the downtrend was broken in May 1999.
 
At this point of time, KLCI already gained 100% from its bottom and chances were missed. However, it is still not wrong as KLCI rose to 1,000 and then 1,400 later.

Those who completely shy away from stock market after being burned should be the real losers.
 
So, it is obvious that no one can time the market and predict its severity.
 
 
When Should I Sell?
 
Some value investors might think that we should hold the shares and even top up the shares throughout the bear market as long as the companies are fundamentally strong.
 
However, any fundamentally-sound company may turn unsound after a bear market.
 
Lets say I bought Public Bank at RM10 in year 2009. Its share price goes up to RM20 now with a 100% gain. If bear strikes now and PBB's share price drop to RM15, RM10 then RM5 in 1-2 years time, should I do nothing? Or should I buy more at RM15, RM10 & RM5 to average down?
 
 
 
When the market recovers, PBB might again reach RM20 in few years time as it is fundamentally strong. It seems like it is OK if I didn't sell any shares earlier. 
 
However, something unforeseen might occur during the market slump such as change of management or fierce competition etc which make PBB not fundamentally strong anymore, and its share price might not reach RM10 again.
 
Furthermore, to see my 100% gain built up in 4 years gone down the drain in 1 year is painful. If it takes another 5 years for PBB to reach RM10, then it is zero paper gain after investing in PBB for 10 years (exclude dividend). Why not sell and then buy again later to earn more than 100%?
 
If I sell PBB at RM20 and buy back at RM5 then this will be ideal but it's as difficult as striking a lottery.
 
Personally, I still haven't reach the "noble" stage in which I will not worry even when the sky falls down. So I think I should sell during a bear market. As I won't know the bear's behaviour, it is better to sell in stages.
 
In a real bear market, the indexes will fall much more than 20%. However, please bear in mind that there are a few times in recent history (esp when KLCI was below 1,000 level) that it fell 20-30% but not more than that afterwards. 
 
 
What to sell?
 
For me, the first few stocks to offload when things are turning sour but still not clear, are those with relatively high valuation and high gearing. The last to go, if needed, should be those defensive stocks.
 
Defensive stocks are those involved in non-cyclical business, in which their businesses are least affected by fluctuating business cycles and market volatility.
 
Such stocks include utilities and some consumer stocks, as people still need electricity, water, basic travel, food, clothes, and may be gloves etc during a bear market.
 
 
 
In contrary, those involved in technology, finance, manufacturing, property, construction etc should be affected the most, as less people will buy computers / smartphones / property, more people are unable to repay their loan and most construction projects halted.
 
When KLCI falls 20%, some non-defensive growth stocks might have fallen 50%.
 
 
When should I buy?
 
Of course, as close to the bottom as possible, but we'll never know.
 
Because of this, investors can use dollar-cost averaging to buy shares if they are not sure. This is an investment strategy that can be used at anytime. It involves investing with the same amount of money at regular interval during a period of time.
 
For example, we can buy RM2,000 worth of certain shares every 2 months for 6 times in one year. By using dollar-cost averaging, we buy less shares when the price is higher, and more shares when the price is lower. In the end, we can get lower per-share price, besides being less riskier than lump-sum investment. 
 
If you do not wish to use this method, then can use your own judgement and sixth sense.
 
 
What to buy?
 
Defensive stocks are the last to go and surely should be the first to buy back.
 
As defensive counters have stable business, usually they can give high and stable dividend. When these kind of stocks are bought at very low price, the future dividend yield can be very high.
 
 
 
So when the market starts to show signs of recovery but the cloud is still not entirely clear, it is safer to go for defensive & high dividend stocks.
 
 
 
At the same time, it is also wise to search for those previously fundamentally-strong companies which are traded at a great discount but their fundamentals are not heavily affected during the bear market.
 

When the signs of recovery is clearer, then we can look for those small caps growth stocks again, especially those which take the opportunity from the economy downturn to fence off their competitors. 
 
 
My Preliminary Strategy
 
KLCI drops <10% - Business as usual.
 
KLCI drops 10-20% - More cautious. Buy/add undervalued stocks. Sell/cut overvalued or higher gearing stocks.
 
Bear entry (KLCI drops >20%) - Sell non-defensive stocks, better to be safe than sorry.
 
Bear confirmed (KLCI drops > 30%)- Start dollar-cost averaging on defensive & high-dividend or blue chips stocks.
 
Signs of bear reversal - Start to collect undervalued fundamentally intact non-defensive stocks
 
End of bear (downtrend broken) - Start to collect good growth stocks, which weather the downturn well and prepare to grow


As there will be many uncertainties, the plan here should be flexible and not to be followed strictly.
 
 
 
 
The opinion and information above are just from an inexperienced investor which is myself. I have just figured out the strategy while writing this article. It is not proven and may change anytime. To many experienced investors, this strategy might be ridiculous. The purpose is just to share to readers that there is someone who will do this when the bear is coming. 
 
Anyway, I still think that it is important to have a plan, rather than putting ourselves in a chaos when the time finally comes.